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At Finsckool, we equip the next generation of finance professionals with the skills, tools, and mentorship they need to break into competitive roles in Investment Banking, Equity Research, and beyond.

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What Majorly Focuses on

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Experience one-on-one mentorship, coaching, and guidance from finance experts.

About Our Venture.

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Led by Nikhil Agarwal, an expert in Equity Research & Investment Banking, this venture is committed to bridging the gap between financial education and real-world application. It provides aspiring professionals with a deep understanding of market fundamentals, technical analysis, and industry insights. By integrating learning with real-time financial updates and social engagement, it serves as a comprehensive platform for those looking to excel in finance.

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Industry Expert Having 7+ Years Experience In US & Australian Projects.

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Technical Analysis

Have you ever looked at a company’s profit numbers and thought you knew everything about its financial health?

Many people make this mistake. They see a business earning ₹10 lakhs in yearly profit and assume it’s doing great. But here’s the truth: one financial report alone can be misleading.

To truly understand any business, you need to read three key financial documents together:

  • Profit & Loss Statement (P&L)
  • Balance Sheet
  • Cash Flow Statement

These three reports work as a team. They’re like different chapters of the same book – each telling an important part of the company’s financial story.

Let’s break down how they connect and why it matters for your investment decisions.

What is a Profit & Loss Statement?

The P&L statement is usually the first document people check. It’s simple to understand:

  • Shows how much money came in (revenue)
  • Shows how much was spent (expenses)
  • Shows what’s left over (profit or loss)

Example: A small clothing store makes ₹50 lakhs in sales. After paying for products, rent, staff salaries, and other costs, they have ₹8 lakhs left. That’s their net profit.

But here’s what many people don’t realize: this ₹8 lakhs profit is not cash sitting in the bank.

It’s an accounting number that includes expenses like depreciation (which don’t involve actual cash leaving the business right now).

The P&L also doesn’t tell you what happened to that profit. Did the owners take it home? Did they buy new equipment? We need other reports to find out.

Understanding the Balance Sheet

Think of the Balance Sheet as a photograph of the company’s financial position on a specific date.

It shows three main things:

  1. Assets – What the company owns (cash, inventory, equipment, buildings)
  2. Liabilities – What the company owes (loans, unpaid bills)
  3. Equity – What belongs to the owners

Here’s where it gets interesting: The profit from your P&L statement flows into the Balance Sheet.

That ₹8 lakhs profit gets added to “Retained Earnings” under the Equity section (if no dividends were paid to owners).

Let’s say the clothing store used ₹5 lakhs of that profit to buy new display equipment:

  • Assets increase by ₹5 lakhs (new equipment)
  • Cash decreases by ₹5 lakhs
  • Total assets remain the same, just rearranged

The Balance Sheet changes every time the company buys something, sells something, takes a loan, or pays back debt.

Cash Flow Statement: Where the Real Action Happens

Now comes the most important question: If a company made ₹8 lakhs profit, does it actually have ₹8 lakhs more cash?

The answer is usually no.

This is where the Cash Flow Statement becomes crucial. It tracks actual money movement – not just paper profits.

Real-world example:

  • A customer orders ₹3 lakhs worth of clothes but hasn’t paid yet
  • Your P&L shows ₹3 lakhs in sales and maybe ₹30,000 in profit
  • But your bank account shows zero – no cash received

Similarly, if you buy ₹2 lakhs worth of inventory and pay upfront, that cash leaves your account immediately. But it doesn’t show as an expense in the P&L until you sell those items.

The Cash Flow Statement fixes this confusion by:

  • Starting with net profit from the P&L
  • Adding back non-cash expenses (like depreciation)
  • Adjusting for changes in receivables and payables
  • Showing money spent on investments (equipment, expansion)
  • Tracking loan payments and new borrowings

How All Three Reports Work Together

Let’s see a complete example:

Starting position: Company has ₹10 lakhs cash in bank

During the year:

  • Makes ₹60 lakhs in sales
  • Spends ₹52 lakhs on expenses
  • Net profit: ₹8 lakhs
  • Buys delivery truck for ₹4 lakhs
  • Pays ₹2 lakhs dividend to owners

What each report shows:

P&L Statement: ₹8 lakhs profit

Balance Sheet:

  • Assets increase by ₹4 lakhs (truck)
  • Cash decreases
  • Retained earnings increase by ₹6 lakhs (₹8L profit – ₹2L dividend)

Cash Flow Statement:

  • Starts with ₹8 lakhs profit
  • Minus ₹4 lakhs for truck
  • Minus ₹2 lakhs dividend
  • Net cash increase: ₹2 lakhs
  • Final cash position: ₹12 lakhs

Now you can see the complete picture!

Why This Knowledge is Powerful

Whether you’re investing in stocks, running a business, or studying finance, understanding these connections gives you a huge advantage.

For investors: A company might show consistent profits but struggle with cash flow due to slow-paying customers or heavy loan payments. The P&L won’t reveal this problem – only the cash flow statement will.

For business owners: You might be profitable on paper but still face cash shortages. These reports help you plan better and avoid financial surprises.

For students: This knowledge forms the foundation of financial analysis. Master this, and you’ll understand how successful investors evaluate companies.

Key Questions to Ask

Next time you look at any company’s financials, don’t stop at the profit numbers. Ask these questions:

  1. Where did the profit actually go?
  2. How much real cash came into the business?
  3. What changed in the company’s assets and debts?
  4. Is the company generating cash or consuming it?

Final Thoughts

Financial statements don’t have to be complicated. Think of them as three different camera angles of the same business:

  • P&L: Shows if the business model is working
  • Balance Sheet: Shows the financial strength and structure
  • Cash Flow: Shows the real money movement

Master these connections, and you’ll see businesses the way professional investors do.

Remember what Warren Buffett says about building your circle of competence. Understanding how money flows through these three reports is a perfect place to start.

Once you grasp this concept, you’ll make smarter investment decisions and better business choices.

The numbers will finally start making sense, and you’ll wonder why it ever seemed complicated in the first place.

When it comes to calculating the intrinsic value of a stock, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis stands out as one of the most reliable methods. Although it requires more effort and financial insight than using quick financial ratios, DCF gives you a clearer, more accurate picture of a stock’s true worth.

In this blog, we’ll dive deep into the DCF method—what it is, how it works, and how you can use it to value stocks effectively.


???? Why Calculate Intrinsic Value?

Intrinsic value is the real worth of a company based on its fundamentals—not its current stock price.

By comparing the intrinsic value with the market price, investors can decide whether a stock is:

  • Undervalued (good to buy),
  • Fairly priced, or
  • Overvalued (better to avoid or sell).

Why Not Just Use Financial Ratios?

Financial ratios are commonly used because they are:

  • Quick to calculate
  • Easy to understand

These include metrics like:

  • Price to Earnings (P/E)
  • Price to Book (P/B)
  • Price to Sales (P/S)
  • Dividend Yield
  • Free Cash Flow Yield

While useful, ratios provide only a crude approximation of value. They lack the depth and forward-looking perspective that DCF offers.


What is Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)?

The DCF model values a company based on the present value of all expected future cash flows.

In simple terms:

Intrinsic Value = Present Value (PV) of all future Free Cash Flows (FCFs)

 DCF Flow Chart:

  1. Forecast future free cash flows (typically for 5–10 years)
  2. Estimate a discount rate
  3. Calculate the present value of each cash flow
  4. Add a terminal value to account for all cash flows beyond the forecast period
  5. Sum it all up → Intrinsic value of the company
  6. Divide by number of shares → Intrinsic value per share

 DCF Explained with an Example

Let’s simplify it with a hypothetical company, ABCD:

Assume ABCD will generate the following FCFs over six years:

YearCash Flow (in ₹ Crores)
1100
2110
3121
4133
5146
6450

If the discount rate is 9%, the intrinsic value is calculated by discounting each cash flow:

Intrinsic Value = 100/(1+0.09)^1 +
110/(1+0.09)^2 +
121/(1+0.09)^3 +
133/(1+0.09)^4 +
146/(1+0.09)^5 +
450/(1+0.09)^6

= ₹735.2 Crores


 Estimating Future Free Cash Flow (FCF)

What is Free Cash Flow?

FCF = Net Cash from Operations – Capital Expenditures

You can also estimate it using:

FCF = Net Profit + Depreciation & Amortization – Change in Working Capital – CAPEX

To project future FCFs:

  1. Analyze past 5 years’ FCF trend
  2. Consider industry dynamics:
    • Sector competitiveness
    • Company’s economic moat

Strong past performance and a solid moat often indicate steady future growth.


 Why Use a Discount Rate?

Future money is worth less than today’s due to inflation and opportunity cost.

The discount rate helps convert future cash into present value.

Two common methods:

  1. Inflation-based (e.g., 7% inflation rate)
  2. Expected return-based (e.g., 15% personal investment benchmark)

However, analysts usually prefer the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) for more realistic projections.


 Terminal Value (TV): Estimating Infinite Cash Flows

It’s nearly impossible to predict FCFs forever. Instead, we estimate a Terminal Value (TV) after the projection period (say 5 years).

TV Formula:

TV = Final Year FCF × (1 + g) / (r – g)

Where:

  • g = perpetual growth rate (usually 4–5%)
  • r = discount rate

Total Intrinsic Value:

DCF Value = PV of 5-year FCFs + PV of Terminal Value


 Complete Example: Intrinsic Value Using DCF

Assumptions:

  • FCFs for 5 years: ₹100, ₹110, ₹121, ₹133, ₹146 Crores
  • Discount Rate (r) = 9%
  • Perpetual Growth Rate (g) = 5%
  • Shares Outstanding = 100 Crore

Using the DCF model:

  • Terminal Value (Year 5) =
    ₹146 × (1+5%) / (9%-5%) = ₹3,832.5 Crores
  • Total PV of all FCFs + TV =
    ₹4,299.4 Crores
  • Intrinsic Value per Share =
    ₹4,299.4 / 100 = ₹42.99

If the stock is currently trading at ₹60, it is overvalued.


 DCF: Limitations & Considerations

  • Estimating future FCFs is not easy
  • Picking the right discount rate is crucial
  • Terminal value often contributes 80-90% of the total valuation
  • Requires a deep understanding of the company’s financials

Conclusion: Is DCF Worth It?

Yes, absolutely. Although DCF is more complex than financial ratios, it is one of the most robust methods to determine intrinsic value.

It’s ideal for long-term, value-focused investors who want a data-driven way to make investment decisions. Just remember: the accuracy of your inputs will define the accuracy of your valuation.

Most of us are familiar with the fact that high inflation is bad. It eats away at our purchasing power and makes everyday expenses harder to manage. But former RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan brought this idea to life through a simple and powerful analogy—Dosa Economics.

While falling interest rates often worry depositors—especially senior citizens—Rajan’s Dosa Economics explains why lower interest rates might actually be better for your real income. Let’s break it down.


The Role of RBI: Balancing Inflation and Growth

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has the challenging job of keeping inflation in check while ensuring GDP growth doesn’t slow down. One of the tools it uses is the repo rate—the rate at which RBI lends money to commercial banks.

  • When inflation is high, RBI raises the repo rate to reduce liquidity and control prices.
  • When GDP growth is sluggish, it lowers the repo rate to encourage borrowing and investment.

Repo rate changes directly impact Fixed Deposit (FD) interest rates. So when RBI cuts the repo rate, banks lower FD rates too—leading to concern among depositors.

But here’s where the concept of real interest rate (aka net return) becomes important.


Nominal vs. Real Interest Rates

  • Nominal Interest Rate: The interest rate you see on FD ads. For example, 6% p.a.
  • Real Interest Rate: This is the nominal rate minus the inflation rate.

If FD is giving 6% and inflation is 5%, your real return is 1%. But if FD is giving 9% and inflation is 10%, your real return is -1%. You’re actually losing money!


Why High FD Rates Aren’t Always a Good Thing

Let’s look at data from the past:

  • 2007–2012 (Pre-Rajan era): FD rates were high (~8.5%), but so was inflation.
  • 2013–2016 (Rajan’s term): FD rates started falling (~6.9%), but inflation also dropped.

At first glance, people felt they were earning less. But in reality, their real purchasing power improved, because inflation dropped faster than FD rates.

This is where Dosa Economics comes in—a story that simplifies a complex economic concept using… Dosas!


The Dosa Economics Analogy

Imagine a senior citizen with ₹1,00,000 in savings. The cost of one dosa is ₹50, so he can buy 2,000 dosas today.

Instead of spending, he puts his money in an FD.

Market #1: High Inflation, High Interest

  • FD interest: 10%, so he earns ₹10,000 in a year.
  • Inflation: 10%, so dosa price becomes ₹55.
  • With ₹10,000, he can now buy 181 dosas (₹10,000/₹55).

Market #2: Low Inflation, Low Interest

  • FD interest: 8%, so he earns ₹8,000.
  • Inflation: 5.5%, so dosa price becomes ₹52.75.
  • With ₹8,000, he can buy 151 dosas.

At first glance, Market #1 looks better—more dosas, right?

But here’s the catch


The Fallacy of High Interest Rates

High interest rates often exist only because inflation is high. If inflation keeps rising, your real return may actually be negative.

In the example above:

  • Market #1 has zero real return (10% – 10% = 0%)
  • Market #2 has positive real return (8% – 5.5% = 2.5%)

So while Market #1 “feels” better, Market #2 is actually enhancing your purchasing power over time.


Why RBI Can’t Always Keep FD Rates High

While depositors might want higher FD rates, RBI can’t grant that wish without hurting GDP growth. High interest rates:

  • Make loans expensive
  • Reduce consumption and investment
  • Slow down GDP growth

On the other hand, lower repo rates:

  • Encourage borrowing
  • Stimulate the economy
  • But reduce FD interest income in the short term

This is the trade-off the RBI has to manage continuously.


How Should Investors Think About FD Rates?

If you’re someone who relies on FD interest, especially a senior citizen, it’s normal to worry about falling rates. But it’s important to:

  • Look at real returns, not nominal returns
  • Understand that lower inflation helps maintain or improve your purchasing power
  • Know that low FD rates often signal economic revival, which benefits everyone in the long run

Conclusion: The Real Takeaway from Dosa Economics

The key message from Raghuram Rajan’s Dosa Economics is simple yet profound:

Focus on real returns, not just high interest rates.

Falling FD rates may hurt in the short term, but if inflation is also falling, your money could be doing more for you than you think. A healthy economy thrives on balanced inflation, stable growth, and positive real returns—not just eye-catching FD rates.


FAQs

Q: Why do FD rates fall when the economy is weak?
A: To boost growth, RBI reduces repo rates, which lowers borrowing costs but also reduces FD interest.

Q: Is a 10% FD rate always better than 6%?
A: Not necessarily. If inflation is 11%, your real return is -1% even with 10%. But if inflation is 4% and FD gives 6%, real return is +2%.

Q: What should investors focus on?
A: Real return = Nominal Interest Rate – Inflation Rate. That’s the actual growth of your purchasing power.

Frequently Asked Questions

Find answers to common questions about our investment banking program
What kind of internship is offered in this program?


You’ll work with an in-house Investment Banking firm on real financial projects, including live deal evaluations, pitchbooks, industry scans, and company valuations.

The internship is designed to be flexible and is conducted remotely, allowing students from any location to participate without relocating.
You’ll work on practical analyst-level tasks such as creating comparables, writing CIMs (Confidential Information Memorandums), conducting company and industry research, and financial modelling.
Yes, upon successful completion, you’ll receive an official Internship Certificate from our partnered IB firm – a valuable addition to your resume and LinkedIn profile.

Absolutely! All tasks and projects are reviewed by mentors with 7+ years of industry experience, and you’ll receive feedback to improve your work and build confidence.

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